Wednesday, March 08, 2006

The Domino Effect: Nick the Nuclear deal

Yo.. looks like President Bush has his plates full trying to convince the Congress about the importance of the Nuke Deal.. its impossible to not be biased when we get such a sweet heart deal from America.

Ofcourse America needs our help (and from the deal they give us, we are obliged to do so) but i tried to look at the nuclear deal from all views:

As an Indian: Well, Christmas (or Diwali for Hindus) came early as they say. Not only has our program been (well, sort of) legitimized (and India's non-participation in letter or spirit of NPT overlooked) but US is also going to provide solid support to our civilian needs. The giant elephant in the room, India's energy needs, will be addressed by this effort. With the growing imports in jobs and the increasing needs of our countrymen, we need every assistance we can get.

As An American: You can understand why Bush wants to do it, it (presumably) creates a new ally that can be relied upon, and in the (inevitable) event of US aligning on a different aisle from China, India is a wonderful geographical partner. But, a big one, China is not your average farmer (to cut the golden-egg laying goose, US). China has too much money to lose if it gets into a match with US and all those Chinese goods, well for a change they have to be sit in the factory.

Also, Indian energy consumption has alarmed every one, average Americans do not even know how much reserves India has. A potential fight for a depleting Mid-East oil is a bore. So, if US can help India reduce its energy requirement rate, that helps the US. The trade-off though is to bite the bullet and swallow a bitter medicine and that is America will help a country which dissed NPT and not only got away from it but also gets rewarded.

But, the bigger picture though is the potential friendship that can help in the next century when a realignment of allies happen. A democracy willing ally with the second largest populace cant hurt too bad. So, US gets back little to nothing but a "maybe" future ally. (An awful lot to give up though!!)

The Average Country: Well, these countries are caught in a hard place, they do not want anything to do with arms race or nuclear weapons, but still why is US rewarding the very country that is supposed to be punsihed under NPT? Does this mean we have to do something to prepare ourselves? Practically speaking, some of these countries are geographically liable in a global race!!

Axis of Evil: Aah, the rogue states, the told-you-so countries. This deal is the perfect example of how America favors certain countries. If India can flout NPT and get rewarded why cant we do the same, theres always China to reward us?

The Scoop: Boy, what a pickle, i just hope the US Congress blocks this.. I know it will hurt my country, but i do not want India to be rewarded for 2 decades and in the third decade the "axis of evils" start a war that ensnarles everyone with the premise that Indo-US deal broke all meaning for NPT. I just can see how much this is a fodder for the terrorist Islamists who will whip up a frenzy because a muslim country (Pakistan) was snubbed in favor of India. This has disaster written all over it, for the sake of the world and the potential arms race, lets hope they either tweak or drop this deal. As a citizen of mother earth, i just think thats the safe and secure option for all countries.

Besides, Indians are smart enough to develop these technologies themselves, it may take a few decades but it can be done. The cost of this deal is more than money, its billions of lives at stake.. Let PEACE rule.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

good deal for india. US has understood the importance of india in the south east region.
but certainly will not ooze the pain that old friend pakistan going through

Vinodh Nathan said...

"anonymous" it is a decent deal for India, look at it from a longterm perspective, the US needs the geographically gifted India to counter China. China has a hook on US economy and when (not if) the day comes to confront China, a nudlear ally sharing the border with china can only help. But, this deal has to pass the US Congress and to do so they have to change a few laws, its a very long term approval process, one that may not come to fruits eventually. Which is a blessing for NPT and a loss for India.